Navy vs Notre Dame Prediction and Pick, Week 11
Navy vs Notre Dame Prediction and Pick, Week 11. Place a bet on this CFB football game with the best odds.
Navy vs Notre Dame Prediction: Trends
- Over the past five games, Navy has a record of 0-5 against the spread.
- In six of Navy’s most recent eight games, the total over has been reached.
- In its last 11 games, Navy has a winning record of 10-1 against the spread.
- The over/under record for Navy’s last five games versus Notre Dame is 1-4.
- Overall, Navy has a record of 0-7 against Notre Dame in its last seven games.
- Over the course of its previous five games played away from home, Navy has a winning record of 4-1.
- When Navy has played Notre Dame away from home, the Navy has a losing record of 0-6 in terms of the single-score.
- From its last five games against opponents from the Independents (FBS) conference, Navy has a record of 1-4 against the spread.
- In the five most recent games that Navy has played in the month of November, the total has been under.
- In its last five games played in week 11, Navy has a perfect record against the spread.
- The over/under record for Notre Dame’s last 20 games is 14-6.
- In four of Notre Dame’s most recent five games, the total has been under the money.
- In its last six games, Notre Dame has a perfect 6-0 record against the spread.
- There have been ten of Notre Dame’s last fourteen games against Navy in which the total has been above.
- In its last 11 games played at home, Notre Dame has a winning record of 10-1 against the spread.
- When playing at home against Navy, Notre Dame has a perfect 5-0 record in its last five games against Navy.
- Over the course of its most recent five games versus teams from the American Conference, Notre Dame has a record of 4-1 against the spread.
- After seven games played in November, Notre Dame has a record of 6-1 against the spread.
- In four of Notre Dame’s last six games played in week 11, the total has been higher than the point spread.
- Four out of Notre Dame’s last six games that have been played on a Saturday have resulted in the total going UNDER.
Navy vs Notre Dame Prediction
Now we have the Navy vs Notre Dame Prediction for both teams.
The annual Navy vs. Notre Dame matchup is one of college football’s most storied rivalries, blending tradition, respect, and contrasting styles of play. This Week 11 meeting continues that legacy, with Notre Dame entering as the heavy favorite once again. The Fighting Irish have dominated this series recently, winning seven straight games over Navy, including blowout victories of 51–14 last season and 42–3 the year before. Notre Dame has also been exceptional against the spread at home, boasting a 10-1 ATS record in their last 11 at South Bend. Meanwhile, Navy continues to fight hard every year in this matchup, but their triple-option attack hasn’t been able to keep pace with Notre Dame’s balanced offensive firepower and athletic advantage in the trenches. With both teams trending differently in 2025—Notre Dame cruising toward another potential New Year’s Six appearance, and Navy working to secure bowl eligibility—this game is expected to follow a familiar script. The key question is whether Navy’s elite rushing offense can grind down Notre Dame’s front seven long enough to cover the spread.
For Navy, the path to success always begins on the ground. The Midshipmen boast the No. 1 rushing attack in college football, averaging an incredible 317.3 yards per game and 6.61 yards per carry. They dominate time of possession (31:57 per game) and consistently force opponents to play disciplined, assignment-based defense. Quarterback play has been minimal, with only 149 passing yards per game, but the system doesn’t require much air support when the run game clicks. Navy has scored at least 30 points in five of its last seven contests, largely behind a relentless ground game that can frustrate even the most talented defenses. However, this Notre Dame front is far better equipped than most to handle the triple-option—allowing just 89 rushing yards per game and ranking 12th nationally. For Navy to keep it close, they’ll need to win the turnover battle, finish drives, and control tempo. The issue is that when Navy falls behind, their limited passing attack makes it nearly impossible to rally, especially against top-tier programs like Notre Dame. Despite their solid ATS history overall, Navy’s 0-6 record in their last six road games versus the Irish shows just how steep the climb is.
Notre Dame, on the other hand, looks like one of the most complete teams in the nation right now. Their offense ranks 14th nationally in scoring (37.4 PPG) and is equally dangerous through the air and on the ground. Quarterback play has been efficient, averaging 274 passing yards per game, while the run game adds another 187.6 yards per outing. Defensively, the Irish have been dominant—holding opponents to just under 20 points per game and under 90 rushing yards, a crucial stat against Navy’s run-heavy approach. They’ve also been a bettor’s dream, going 6-0 ATS in their last six and 10-1 ATS at home. With a balanced attack, strong defensive discipline, and a coaching staff that’s mastered this matchup, Notre Dame has every advantage heading into Week 11. The Irish typically start fast, and if they can build an early lead, their defense should be able to choke out Navy’s comeback hopes. Expect Notre Dame’s efficiency, depth, and athleticism to eventually wear down the Midshipmen as this game progresses.
✅ Our CFB Week 11 Pick: NOTRE DAME
Navy vs Notre Dame Prediction: Head to Head
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10/26/24
|
@NAV
|
ND 51-14
|
NAV+13.5
|
O41.5
|
NAV+440
|
|
8/26/23
|
@ND
|
ND 42-3
|
ND-20.5
|
U48.5
|
ND-1100
|
|
11/12/22
|
@NAV
|
ND 35-32
|
NAV+17.5
|
O42.5
|
NAV+625
|
|
11/06/21
|
@ND
|
ND 34-6
|
ND-24.5
|
U46.5
|
ND-2500
|
|
11/16/19
|
@ND
|
ND 52-20
|
ND-7.0
|
O55
|
ND-290
|
|
10/27/18
|
@NAV
|
ND 44-22
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/18/17
|
@ND
|
ND 24-17
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
11/05/16
|
@NAV
|
NAV 28-27
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
|
10/10/15
|
@ND
|
ND 41-24
|
NL
|
NL
|
NL
|
Navy vs Notre Dame Prediction: Navy Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/01/25
|
@NTX
|
L 31-17
|
L+4.5
|
U55.5
|
L+168
|
|
10/25/25
|
FAU
|
W 42-32
|
L-14.5
|
O62.5
|
W-600
|
|
10/11/25
|
@TEM
|
W 32-31
|
L-9.5
|
O52.5
|
W-265
|
|
10/04/25
|
|
W 34-31
|
L-11.5
|
O57.5
|
W-420
|
|
9/27/25
|
RICE
|
W 21-13
|
L-14.0
|
U46
|
W-650
|
|
9/13/25
|
@TSA
|
W 42-23
|
W-14.5
|
O53.5
|
W-530
|
|
9/06/25
|
UAB
|
W 38-24
|
L-20.5
|
O58.5
|
W-1200
|
|
8/30/25
|
VMI
|
W 52-7
|
W-38.5
|
O49.5
|
W-20000
|
|
12/27/24
|
OKL
|
W 21-20
|
W+8.5
|
U46.5
|
W+235
|
|
12/14/24
|
@ARM
|
W 31-13
|
W+1.0
|
O38.5
|
W-105
|
Navy vs Notre Dame Prediction: Notre Dame Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | Score | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11/01/25
|
@BC
|
W 25-10
|
L-29.5
|
U57.5
|
W-10000
|
|
10/18/25
|
USC
|
W 34-24
|
L-13.5
|
O53.5
|
W-450
|
|
10/11/25
|
NCST
|
W 36-7
|
W-23.5
|
U62.5
|
W-2500
|
|
10/04/25
|
BOISE
|
W 28-7
|
W-15.5
|
U53.5
|
W-780
|
|
9/27/25
|
@ARK
|
W 56-13
|
W-12.5
|
O58.5
|
W-225
|
|
9/20/25
|
PUR
|
W 56-30
|
W-25.5
|
O48.5
|
W-4500
|
|
9/13/25
|
TXAM
|
L 41-40
|
L-7.0
|
O49.5
|
L-240
|
|
8/31/25
|
@MFL
|
L 27-24
|
L-1.5
|
U53.5
|
L-118
|
|
1/20/25
|
OSU
|
L 34-23
|
L+9.5
|
O46.5
|
L+315
|
|
1/09/25
|
@PSU
|
W 27-24
|
W-1.5
|
O47
|
W-121
|
Navy vs Notre Dame Prediction: Navy Offense
Overall
| NAVY Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ND Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34.75 | 28 | Points Scored | 29 | 19.88 |
| 149.00 | 130 | Passing Yards | 120 | 258.63 |
| 317.25 | 1 | Rushing Yards | 12 | 89.00 |
| 31:57 | 24 | Time on Field | 77 | 30:23 |
| 62.38 | 121 | Number of Plays | 94 | 68.38 |
| 7.47 | 2 | Yards Per Play | 35 | 5.08 |
Scoring
| NAVY Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ND Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34.75 | 28 | Points Scored | 29 | 19.88 |
| 7.38 | 43 | First Quarter | 35 | 3.38 |
| 10.38 | 38 | Second Quarter | 123 | 10.63 |
| 7.38 | 39 | Third Quarter | 21 | 3.00 |
| 9.63 | 20 | Fourth Quarter | 6 | 2.88 |
Passing
| NAVY Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ND Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149.00 | 130 | Passing Yards | 120 | 258.63 |
| 14.38 | 135 | Pass Attempts | 131 | 36.88 |
| 9.00 | 135 | Pass Completions | 113 | 21.38 |
| 0.38 | 3 | Sacks | 26 | 2.63 |
| 2.50 | 134 | Sack Yards | 108 | 17.50 |
| 16.56 | 2 | Yards Per Pass | 99 | 12.10 |
Rushing
| NAVY Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ND Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317.25 | 1 | Rushing Yards | 12 | 89.00 |
| 48.00 | 5 | Rush Attempts | 16 | 31.50 |
| 6.61 | 1 | Yards Per Rush | 11 | 2.83 |
Turn Overs
| NAVY Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ND Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | 49 | Interceptions | 1 | 2.00 |
| 1.38 | 110 | Fumbles | 101 | 0.88 |
| 0.50 | 71 | Fumbles Lost | 120 | 0.25 |
| 1.13 | 58 | Total Turnovers | 4 | 2.25 |
| 6.25 | 69 | Penalties | 19 | 7.50 |
| 53.13 | 59 | Penalty Yards | 16 | 66.13 |
Drives & Special Teams
| NAVY Offense | Off. Rank | Stat | Def. Rank | ND Defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31:57 | 24 | Time on Field | 77 | 30:23 |
| 62.38 | 121 | Number of Plays | 94 | 68.38 |
| 7.47 | 2 | Yards Per Play | 35 | 5.08 |
| 2.00 | 5 | Punts | 95 | 4.00 |
| 45.13 | 30 | Punt Average | 31 | 41.48 |
| 56.63 | 74 | Return Yards | 7 | 25.00 |
Navy vs Notre Dame Prediction: Notre Dame Offense
Overall
| NAVY Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ND Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.00 | 67 | Points Scored | 14 | 37.38 |
| 253.75 | 113 | Passing Yards | 26 | 274.00 |
| 126.25 | 40 | Rushing Yards | 30 | 187.63 |
| 28:02 | 26 | Time on Field | 75 | 29:36 |
| 66.38 | 69 | Number of Plays | 103 | 64.25 |
| 5.73 | 86 | Yards Per Play | 8 | 7.18 |
Scoring
| NAVY Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ND Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.00 | 67 | Points Scored | 14 | 37.38 |
| 7.38 | 109 | First Quarter | 31 | 7.75 |
| 5.75 | 36 | Second Quarter | 13 | 12.00 |
| 3.88 | 36 | Third Quarter | 13 | 9.38 |
| 7.00 | 85 | Fourth Quarter | 41 | 8.25 |
Passing
| NAVY Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ND Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 253.75 | 113 | Passing Yards | 26 | 274.00 |
| 31.75 | 88 | Pass Attempts | 102 | 27.63 |
| 20.38 | 101 | Pass Completions | 86 | 18.50 |
| 2.38 | 34 | Sacks | 27 | 1.25 |
| 17.25 | 107 | Sack Yards | 87 | 10.38 |
| 12.45 | 110 | Yards Per Pass | 7 | 14.81 |
Rushing
| NAVY Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ND Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126.25 | 40 | Rushing Yards | 30 | 187.63 |
| 34.63 | 63 | Rush Attempts | 57 | 36.63 |
| 3.65 | 40 | Yards Per Rush | 23 | 5.12 |
Turn Overs
| NAVY Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ND Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.50 | 106 | Interceptions | 26 | 0.50 |
| 0.75 | 116 | Fumbles | 98 | 1.25 |
| 0.75 | 27 | Fumbles Lost | 74 | 0.50 |
| 1.25 | 68 | Total Turnovers | 44 | 1.00 |
| 4.25 | 130 | Penalties | 70 | 6.25 |
| 34.00 | 129 | Penalty Yards | 83 | 57.88 |
Drives & Special Teams
| NAVY Defense | Def. Rank | Stat | Off. Rank | ND Offense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28:02 | 26 | Time on Field | 75 | 29:36 |
| 66.38 | 69 | Number of Plays | 103 | 64.25 |
| 5.73 | 86 | Yards Per Play | 8 | 7.18 |
| 3.00 | 128 | Punts | 10 | 2.25 |
| 41.89 | 43 | Punt Average | 27 | 45.44 |
| 58.00 | 90 | Return Yards | 12 | 80.38 |
All NFL Week 11 Predictions
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Navy vs Notre Dame Prediction and Pick, Week 11, by YouWager.lv.